The U.S. Bureau of Reclamation recently began tests on a new tool designed to better project summer rainfall associated with the North American Monsoon. "When we're thinking about really long lead times, and the ability of models to forecast if there's moisture available and the atmospheric patterns are in the right configuration, advancing beyond this traditional approach of looking myopically at temperature and precipitation is the way to go," said Chris Castro, an expert on the North American Monsoon at the University of Arizona.